Prominent Conservative back-bench MP Louise Mensch has announced she is quitting the commons to move to New York with her children to be with her husband of a year, Peter Mensch, who is manager of rock band Metallica.
Frankly I’m not interested in that, but what does get my attention is the fact that her departure will trigger a by-election in her former constituency of Corby, which will most likely take place on November 15.
As Corby is a marginal seat, it means that there will be a huge scrap between Labour and the Tories to make sure their candidate wins in it, and by that time the figures for the performance of the economy in the third quarter will be out, which will undoubtedly have an effect.
If the economy has shrunk again then the Tories will struggle to hold the seat, but if the economy grows and shows more encouraging signs then it will be difficult for Labour to dislodge them.
This by-election could also act as a small scale prequel of what to expect at the 2015 election, who said politics was dull.
No comments:
Post a Comment